Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 887.299254 1006.448180 1140.238578 1302.484588 1495.095677 1717.917555 1997.326112
2025-04-06 689.971453 838.644202 1021.211182 1265.226911 1587.984051 2007.787073 2607.929019
2025-04-13 581.706317 736.452115 936.936856 1221.530083 1624.970071 2192.339089 3081.120045
2025-04-20 531.578007 697.098898 921.826619 1258.493039 1767.118389 2537.282890 3857.111147
2025-04-27 485.289020 654.684262 893.599159 1267.881923 1864.730091 2828.655533 4620.039928
2025-05-04 453.577613 627.773930 882.140304 1297.505776 1994.641389 3193.230080 5609.390842
2025-05-11 425.651747 602.546865 868.932660 1320.495122 2114.855356 3563.371214 6723.187542
2025-05-18 408.527043 591.226174 874.853796 1374.019732 2295.323617 4081.940834 8326.283544
2025-05-25 384.349104 566.273401 855.790867 1381.363024 2391.364706 4456.320321 9747.390794
2025-06-01 358.839154 536.721780 825.824870 1364.787900 2437.563873 4736.191307 11047.128964
2025-06-08 336.879281 510.972004 799.518214 1351.086329 2486.392333 5032.403421 12521.344755
2025-06-15 323.766469 498.674224 794.907961 1377.201042 2622.031642 5563.993418 14954.525817
2025-06-22 299.811409 467.255158 755.623993 1334.937619 2611.045685 5756.952529 16502.032184
2025-06-29 278.582740 439.132651 720.135550 1296.782864 2605.138231 5970.093793 18294.291672
2025-07-06 258.713936 411.823442 683.575221 1251.665943 2574.610671 6108.422988 19907.375545
2025-07-13 251.445720 406.179614 686.667155 1289.798839 2751.897963 6896.848806 24855.914171
2025-07-20 241.308026 394.543401 677.198712 1299.483531 2860.210335 7518.473789 29679.176488
2025-07-27 234.340512 388.136795 677.191333 1330.048348 3029.888206 8405.320387 36928.030248
2025-08-03 227.120984 380.692221 674.379743 1353.771781 3186.663440 9317.148840 45646.189002
2025-08-10 223.474487 379.685678 684.399381 1409.018971 3446.853954 10736.096055 60361.232983
2025-08-17 215.525169 369.830927 675.250773 1416.600029 3567.798520 11671.226164 73391.703766
2025-08-24 205.962010 356.213080 657.080561 1399.488712 3609.128782 12295.801662 85151.188554
2025-08-31 197.340590 343.929565 640.814641 1385.345235 3657.874036 12985.334529 99528.933027